Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001547 0.001632 0.001719 0.001816 0.001921 0.002030 0.002153
2025-06-01 0.001401 0.001521 0.001649 0.001796 0.001962 0.002143 0.002356
2025-06-08 0.001314 0.001458 0.001616 0.001804 0.002022 0.002269 0.002572
2025-06-15 0.001234 0.001393 0.001572 0.001789 0.002049 0.002351 0.002734
2025-06-22 0.001174 0.001344 0.001540 0.001783 0.002081 0.002437 0.002900
2025-06-29 0.001116 0.001294 0.001502 0.001765 0.002094 0.002496 0.003034
2025-07-06 0.001065 0.001248 0.001465 0.001745 0.002101 0.002545 0.003154
2025-07-13 0.001007 0.001191 0.001412 0.001701 0.002074 0.002548 0.003211
2025-07-20 0.000979 0.001169 0.001400 0.001706 0.002108 0.002630 0.003376
2025-07-27 0.000955 0.001151 0.001392 0.001716 0.002149 0.002720 0.003556
2025-08-03 0.000939 0.001141 0.001393 0.001737 0.002204 0.002833 0.003772
2025-08-10 0.000913 0.001119 0.001377 0.001734 0.002225 0.002898 0.003923
2025-08-17 0.000877 0.001082 0.001343 0.001708 0.002217 0.002926 0.004030
2025-08-24 0.000847 0.001053 0.001318 0.001693 0.002225 0.002978 0.004175
2025-08-31 0.000828 0.001038 0.001311 0.001701 0.002265 0.003077 0.004398
2025-09-07 0.000803 0.001012 0.001288 0.001688 0.002272 0.003128 0.004549
2025-09-14 0.000781 0.000992 0.001272 0.001683 0.002290 0.003195 0.004730
2025-09-21 0.000758 0.000968 0.001250 0.001666 0.002291 0.003235 0.004867
2025-09-28 0.000735 0.000944 0.001226 0.001647 0.002286 0.003266 0.004991
2025-10-05 0.000706 0.000911 0.001188 0.001607 0.002246 0.003238 0.005011
2025-10-12 0.000693 0.000899 0.001182 0.001611 0.002276 0.003324 0.005235
2025-10-19 0.000682 0.000891 0.001178 0.001620 0.002313 0.003423 0.005489
2025-10-26 0.000676 0.000888 0.001182 0.001640 0.002369 0.003554 0.005814